Friday, July 24, 2015
Thursday, July 09, 2015
From: Tom Wigley
To: Phil JonesSubject: 1940s Date: Sun, 27 Sep 2009 23:25:38 -0600 Cc: Ben Santer Phil, Here are some speculations on correcting SSTs to partly explain the 1940s warming blip. If you look at the attached plot you will see that the land also shows the 1940s blip (as I'm sure you know). So, if we could reduce the ocean blip by, say, 0.15 degC, then this would be significant for the global mean -- but we'd still have to explain the land blip. I've chosen 0.15 here deliberately. This still leaves an ocean blip, and i think one needs to have some form of ocean blip to explain the land blip (via either some common forcing, or ocean forcing land, or vice versa, or all of these). When you look at other blips, the land blips are 1.5 to 2 times (roughly) the ocean blips -- higher sensitivity plus thermal inertia effects. My 0.15 adjustment leaves things consistent with this, so you can see where I am coming from. Removing ENSO does not affect this. It would be good to remove at least part of the 1940s blip, but we are still left with "why the blip". Let me go further. If you look at NH vs SH and the aerosol effect (qualitatively or with MAGICC) then with a reduced ocean blip we get continuous warming in the SH, and a cooling in the NH -- just as one would expect with mainly NH aerosols. The other interesting thing is (as Foukal et al. note -- from MAGICC) that the 1910-40 warming cannot be solar. The Sun can get at most 10% of this with Wang et al solar, less with Foukal solar. So this may well be NADW, as Sarah and I noted in 1987 (and also Schlesinger later). A reduced SST blip in the 1940s makes the 1910-40 warming larger than the SH (which it currently is not) -- but not really enough. So ... why was the SH so cold around 1910? Another SST problem? (SH/NH data also attached.) This stuff is in a report I am writing for EPRI, so I'd appreciate any comments you (and Ben) might have. Tom.Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\TTHEMIS.xls" Attachment Converted: "c:\eudora\attach\TTLVSO.XLS"
Monday, June 29, 2015
Sunday, June 28, 2015
Saturday, June 27, 2015
Friday, June 26, 2015
Saturday, June 13, 2015
Deadly Harvest You Tube Video
Thursday, June 11, 2015
"Sea Shepherd Conservation Society has agreed to pay US$2.55 million to two Japanese organizations that kill whales.
Saturday, June 06, 2015
So creating an artificial energy material to cut down on ground sourced fossil fuels makes steaks unaffordable for average folks.
Saving the world is a tough business. They have to starve the people to rescue the planet.
Saturday, May 30, 2015
"A ferocious winter, delayed spring and even the beginnings of climate change have created a "pollen tsunami" that is slamming allergy sufferers in the Northeast, says one expert.Oak and birch trees — the "big bad" pollen makers — are coming out at the same time as the seasonal ones like poplar, alder and ash. And soon the grass pollens arrive."
Now I'm not a tree or plant expert - don't mind looking at 'em, don't care if I ever own one.
But does this pollen explosion have something to do with the biosphere self correcting? I encourage commentary from better informed people than me.
But is it possible that the increase in CO2 levels results in more pollen which results in more plants and trees being created which absorb the increased level of CO2?
Monday, March 23, 2015
Scientists "adjusting" test results with a "statistical algorithm" to get a result they desperately want? "Really you might as well stick a finger in the air."
Sunday, March 15, 2015
It seems that there is some natural process that allows CO2 levels to increase - even double - and somehow not have any significant effect on global temperatures.
Saturday, March 14, 2015
there was quite a debate when it was predicted...
The Saxby Gale was the name given to a tropical cyclone which struck eastern Canada's Bay of Fundy region on the night of October 4–5, 1869. The storm was named for Lieutenant Stephen Martin Saxby, a naval instructor who, based on his astronomical studies, had predicted extremely high tides in the North Atlantic Ocean on October 1, 1869, which would produce storm surges in the event of a storm.
Friday, March 06, 2015
Tuesday, February 24, 2015
Meanwhile, the line I like best from Science Mag is:
" and other outlets reported that Soon has received extensive financial support over the past decade from fossil fuel companies and others opposed to government regulation of greenhouse gas emissions."
Is it a crime against humanity to oppose a government policy - especially one that will have a huge effect on our economic sustainability - global catastrophe or not?
Meanwhile, if I understand it properly, the Smithsonian's position is that they hired Willie Soon to do a study that proved that the Sun had no effect on climate. And they were shocked, I tell, you, shocked that he falsely reported something else!
Sounds like pure science to me.
Friday, February 20, 2015
Wednesday, February 18, 2015
I have to wonder.. in all these travels in places such as China and Norway... did he pursue his perversion? A Google Search and Country name might reveal his speaking locations...
There is a climate angle to this....
This same government contracted with Samsung and paid them $9 Billion to build windmills. Which will never provide 3% of Ontario's energy, but which we will be each paying $250/year until we die.
Tuesday, February 03, 2015
Tuesday, January 27, 2015
In a previous weatherbomb in 2013 we played golf...
I thought it particularly funny to see everyone running around blaming "Global Warming Climate Change Crisis" when (a) the weather event was not significant even in recent times and (b) there were far worse storms during the 70s Global Cooling Crisis and (c) there were worse storms when weather patterns were ambient.
Saturday, January 17, 2015
- 13 calves (37%) calves died due to mother abandonment.
Monday, January 12, 2015
Back When it was tres chic to claim to have won a Nobel PEACE prize.... (Turns out - one still does - check comments)
It was to be a database of all the faux-bel prize winners.
I suspect the links are all dead - but - it is worth a little tickle.
NOTE - this one is STILL Active...
Sunday, December 28, 2014
"We" don't make anything anymore.
The Liberal Governed Province of Ontario, from whence I write, is about as corrupt as a "democratic" government can get. Prior to the last election, they wasted $1 Billion to relocate 2 gas plants because there was a risk of losing the ridings. Then they hired an outsider to delete all the emails between top officials. This, a few years after their Minister of Energy, without authorization, signed a $9 Billion contract with Samsung to build windfarms forever in Ontario.
Ontario can't afford to make autoparts anymore. Energy costs and union wages are too expensive. Food processing is closing down and moving because it isn't feasible to process our own tomatoes here.
So what do the "Lieberals" do? The same as other bankrupt governments.
They cling to the life raft of "renewables" which not only saves the planet, but also on the surface generates jobs. But, of course, they don't generate jobs because the energy it produces is too expensive - it is not, and never will be, a viable product.
The job "creation" is in fact a transfer of wealth - from taxes of people who pay taxes, to people employed in making "renewables". It's very similar to hiring one guy to dig a hole, and then hire another guy to fill it in. Both of them working long enough that when their jobs are over, they can draw unemployment insurance, which is a transfer of funds from ALL Canadian taxpayers.
Now, with their successfully fooling Ontario residents with this scheme, they can move on to "carbon taxes". Which sucks money out of everyone's pocket, so the Liberals can give it to their friends.
And as evidenced by the last election, which saw the Liberals give huge wage increases to teachers and other union workers, there are enough people on the government dole and in government jobs, to win the election.
Time for the torches and pitchforks.
Sunday, December 14, 2014
And collectively have an economy 1/11th of the G7.
And every member is 11 times more corrupt than any member of the G7, which is really saying something.
I suspect that all 77 members have 1/11th number of patents and books published of any member of the G7.
And I suspect the chatter among themselves is fascinating.
Wednesday, December 10, 2014
It is not about saving the planet, it's about taking money from one place - successful economies - and giving it to basket-case corrupt economies.
A Billion UN Enviro Bucks Spent on Indo Coal Plants
Saturday, December 06, 2014
Friday, December 05, 2014
He is what has been referred to as a "denier"; because he refuses to accept the "consensus" that mankind is causing the global warming that is resulting is us all freezing in our woolies... (note: of course the truth as Crichton knows it, "deniers" are actually the truth tellers and the real consensus does not agree that the settled science is that man is causing "climate change").
From Michael in reference to his book, "State of Fear".
Imagine that there is a new scientific theory that warns of an impending crisis, and points to a way out.
This theory quickly draws support from leading scientists, politicians and celebrities around the world. Research is funded by distinguished philanthropies, and carried out at prestigious universities. The crisis is reported frequently in the media. The science is taught in college and high school classrooms.
I don't mean global warming. I'm talking about another theory, which rose to prominence a century ago.
Wednesday, December 03, 2014
Illegal dumping of waste is replacing drugs as organized crime money maker...
More evidence of the stupidity of modern government.
J. Delingpole of the Daily Mail
Tuesday, December 02, 2014
Sunday, November 30, 2014
Wednesday, November 26, 2014
Monday, November 17, 2014
Thursday, November 13, 2014
Sunday, November 09, 2014
Monday, November 03, 2014
Saturday, October 25, 2014
Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea
The new, state of the art nuclear submarine Seaview is on diving trials in the Arctic Ocean. The Seaview is designed and built by scientist and engineering genius Admiral Harriman Nelson (USN-Ret) (Walter Pidgeon). Captain Lee Crane (Robert Sterling) is the Seaview'sCommanding Officer. One of the on-board observers is Dr. Susan Hiller (Joan Fontaine), studying crew-related stress. The mission includes being out of radio contact for 96 hours while under the Arctic ice cap, but the ice begins to crack and melt, with boulder-size pieces crashing into the ocean around the submarine. Surfacing, they discover fire burning in the sky resulting in a world-threatening increase in heat all across the Earth. Bergan informs Nelson that the President wants him at a UN Emergency Scientific Meeting as soon as possible.
Friday, October 17, 2014
Saturday, October 11, 2014
Media as political propaganda outlets....
In a study a few years back of CBC reporters not one.... zero.... voted Conservative.
Wednesday, October 08, 2014
"CRU publications repeatedly emphasize the discrepancy between instrumental and tree-based proxy reconstructions of temperature during the late 20th century, but presentations of this work by the IPCC and others have sometimes neglected to highlight this issue.
Saturday, September 27, 2014
Inexpensive, reliable energy - provided mostly (and realistically ONLY) by fossil fuels - allow factories to be built, which provide jobs for ordinary people and create wealth in a town or country. (Note: Hydro and Nuke are reliable and cheap over time, but with huge initial costs.) With this wealth schools, universities and hospitals can be built and entire societies changed from hand-to-mouth existence to generative ones that allow for invention and artistic, leisure and cultural pursuits.
The reason I write this is because our power bill this month was $500, in a small house with 2 people. Last year for this month it was about $250. Why? Because the provincial government, the licensor of the energy monopoly in Ontario, made a multi-billion commitment to windmills that are incredibly unproductive and more incredibly expensive. Companies that make these contraptions or try and sell energy produced by them only exist because of the government subsidy. Our extra $3000 / year (times 4 million households) allows these companies to, among other things, support some politicians and campaign against others.
Those people who protest use of fossil fuels are either disingenuous, in someone's pocket, Bolsheviks who despise anyone but themselves having wealth, uneducated or unable to understand science and economics, or refugees from the 60s looking for meaning.
They need to be ignored or they will be creating a destiny of impoverishment for our (and their) society's future generations.
Friday, September 26, 2014
From DeSmog Blog Propaganda Manual...
Sunday, September 21, 2014
Meanwhile, I was defying age and gravity by playing in a Masters basketball tournament, in a small city an hour from Toronto on the shores of one of the world's largest fresh water lakes. Now my age is a state secret and to be honest my defiance of gravity would be measured in inches not feet. But these defiances pale when compared to the defiance against science and reality when I arrived at the new and shiny field-house in which the tournament was staged.
It is truly a marvelous facility, bright and new with hardwood slats never before suffering the pounding of the big feet of large males.
Then I went to fill up my water bottle.
Now in a modern world, where decisions were based on theory and proof, not political considerations, this activity would take about 15 seconds. But nooooo. Not now, not here. It took about 5 minutes to capture enough water to prevent my dehydration and death. I have seen a stronger trickle from a faucet with a leaky washer.
And the showers? I had to move around and do a shimmy dance to make my hair just a little bit wet.
Did I mention that my drive to the place was conducted in rain so strong that it pooled on the highway and caused at least one accident? And that it is raining similarly as I write this?
The facility is perhaps one mile from one of the largest fresh water lakes in the world. It probably increased in volume by a foot or so from the rain today.
But the politicians who would have had to sign off on this project needed to have insisted that the facility be 100% earth friendly. Which means, it doesn't matter if people can get enough water to drink or in which to wash their sweaty bodies.
This is not Arizona. Nor is it California, although clearly the stupidities from there have made it up here.
This is Ontario. We have LOTS of water. And we don't need to conserve it. Especially since any water we drink and piss away makes it back into the eco-system.
As a smart guy once said, the biggest different between stupidity and genius, is that there is a limit to genius.
Wednesday, September 17, 2014
Friday, September 12, 2014
Tuesday, September 09, 2014
Saturday, September 06, 2014
Link to Horrible Story Here
Bigger, Greener Babies
The study was done in Vancouver.
This would seem to make some sense, but we have to be careful to distinguish cause from correlation.
Are families in leafy neighbourhoods more wealthy and therefore have better diets? Is there an ethnic bias; are we comparing Anglo-Saxon babies to Asian babies? What about cities that are entirely green (say Abbotsford) compared to cities with very little foliage?
And does size matter?
Friday, September 05, 2014
New Brunswick and Nova Scotia people have faced a propaganda tsunami against shale gas for almost a decade from the usual noises: Tides, WWF, Green Pee, etc. More effort needs to take place to refute the lies told by these lying liars.
Thursday, September 04, 2014
Tuesday, October 06, 2009
Sunday, September 13, 2009
Thousands of other scientists are on the record as saying that this is horsefeathers - mostly that CO2 has never caused the climate to change and that variations are caused by the Sun.
One of these groups is wrong - they are not arguing semantics or minor items.
So scientists are wrong. Period.
In consideration of this, the scientific principal of "null hypothesis" needs to be brought to the table. Under this approach every theory is always considered unproven.
A theory can be "proven" a thousand times, but when a single tests proves wrong, then the theory needs to be discarded.
Since Man-created Co2 has risen faster than ever in history in the last 10 years, yet temperatures have slightly decreased or stayed the same (note there is no such thing as an average temperature) then the original theory is proven wrong.
Even commentators who support the man made Co2 theory have admitted as much by changing the whole theme to "Climate Change" from AGW.
One of the top IPCC experts is wavering, almost (Lorne Gunter):
But as Prof. Latif pointed out, the Atlantic, and particularly the North Atlantic, has been cooling instead. And it looks set to continue a cooling phase for 10 to 20 more years. "How much?" he wondered before the assembled delegates. "The jury is still out." (...)
While they deny it now, the facts to the contrary are staring them in the face: None of the alarmist drummers every predicted anything like a 30-year pause in their apocalyptic scenario.
Prof. Latif says he expects warming to resume in 2020 or 2030. "People will say this is global warming disappearing," he added. According to him, that is not the case. "I am not one of the skeptics," he insisted. "However, we have to ask the nasty questions ourselves or other people will do it."
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Cobourg Union Cemetery has opened what is believed to be Ontario's first truly eco-friendly burial ground. Now people for whom environmental consciousness is a way of life can do their part to save the planet after death.But I suppose if people don't want their descendants to find their gravestone and find out about the basketcase they're descended from, that's okay with me...
Saturday, August 22, 2009
We have not seen any weather affect from Global Warming because we have not experienced Global Warming - we're at about the same temps as a century ago - even the worst alarmists point to a very modest increase in temps. And they are careful to tell us that climate is not weather. So how can this commentator say with a straight face:
While storms of such severity are rare, one expert predicted that we should expect more extreme storms in the future.
"If you keep pushing the climate the way we're pushing it, don't think about getting `average' weather any more," said Queen's climatologist McCaughey.
Later in the paper there was this:
The average water temperature worldwide was 17 Celsius, according to the National Climatic Data Center, the branch of the U.S. government that keeps world weather records. June was only slightly cooler, while August could set another record, scientists say. The previous record was set in July 1998 during a powerful El Nino in the Pacific.
Meteorologists said there is a combination of forces at work: A natural El Nino weather pattern just getting started on top of worsening manmade global warming, and a dash of random weather variations. Already the resulting ocean heat is harming threatened coral reefs. It also could hasten the melting of Arctic sea ice and help hurricanes strengthen.
What is an average water temperature? Did they measure ever cubic foot of water? Or did they cherry pick places where they knew they would get data they could use? The oceans have a big effect on weather and climate because the Earth is mostly water.
And, again, there is no global warming (and even Al Gore isn't using that phrase any more).
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Turns out I was right...
Batting average is simple - you take the total number of hits and divide it by the total number of at bats. You compare this years average with other years calculated in the same manner.
Global Climate average is not quite that simple to determine, in fact, it's impossible to find out, and its easy to fudge.
To have an accurate average global temperature, you would need to have the temperatures for every locality at exactly the same time using exactly the same measuring equipment in exactly the same way.
And to compare average temperatures, you would need to have studies for previous periods - preferrably over a long period of time.
Any other figure is imagined, or worse, more than likely taken from a selective sample of climate temperature record to "prove" a point.
I walk outside this summer, it is raining on 80% of the days, it is colder than I have ever seen it in my part of the world on this day. That's an observation. But that's about all we really got to go on.
And, one more time, the Climate Alarmists only have to be wrong once on the effect of CO2 in increasing temperatures. And they've been wrong for almost a decade - I encourage people to look back on my posts as far as their predictions and actuals. If the Alarmist predictors were paid according to their accuracy in predicting, they'd be a part of the starvation problem the world has, not a part of a Global Warming crisis that we don't.
Researchers are pulling out all the stops to find whatever microscopic evidence they can to prove the world has a fever blister. Of course, they haven't discovered anything yet, and no they don't really have anything to compare their findings to, but that doesn't stop them from making the announcement:
They're very creative, they've invented a net that traps the small beasties but lets the big ones go free. But the problem is, that we have had the same gradual change in climate that we have had for thousands of years. We haven't had any more global warming than normal. The Alarmists are talking about things maybe occuring over the NEXT 100 years.
So far, scientists haven't seen any plankton species go extinct, Nelson said from Barrow, Alaska, after a separate, two-week research voyage. But they are closely watching Pacific Ocean plankton found in the Arctic to see if they begin reproducing as sea temperatures rise.
"If a Pacific species was established in the Arctic, this would really be news," he says. "But we have not detected this yet. What could happen in this scenario is that, if the invader out-competes the native species, this could lead to fundamental changes in ecosystem function."
If there isn't any warming, than what can they measure. Can they invent something else that can describe how these little monsters were affected with open waters in the arctic in the 50s?
Thursday, July 23, 2009
I don't have a science education, nor the aptitude to really understand the science behind AGW, much less professional experience in the field.
I just have a BS detector the size of a funnel cloud, relatively good powers of observation and a more than middling level of curiosity.
So looking at the debate on "the biggest crisis in history" I mainly rely on whatever common sense my Mom gave me.
I believe in the power of anecdotes and observations, providing that they are put in context and considered for bias.
One observation that I have is that there are no valid temperature measurement data. Nothing is reliable over a longer term. Consistent technology to measure ice extension / contraction in the arctic is only 30 years old (although I know from pictures that the North Pole was liquid in the 50s and that Greenland was warm enough to raise sheep 1000 years ago and that the Thames was frozen a couple of centuries ago). I know that as many as 90% of surface temperature data are invalid thanks to Anthony Watts' research. And current sea temps are all based on new technology. And I think that surrogate data can be manipulated to prove any point. Furthermore, everyone insists on using "global average temperatures" which, of course, isn't a valid measurement (the entire earth cannot have an average temperature unless all temperatures in all places are taken all the time). Which is impossible and these data would still be skewed by time zones. And generally, the total amount of CO2 released into the atmosphere is also a global figure, not a local one.
So all data having anything to do with Climate Change are compromised and useless as far as making policy.
Basically, my Spidey Senses reveal the following:
1. Big cities and urban areas are suffering the coldest summers in my lifetime as well as the worst winters
2. Remote areas (Northern Canada and Equatorial areas) are enjoying very hot summers
Consistently, both sides of this debate concentrate on "climate" rather than "weather". The Alarmist side (at least) do this, I think, to rebut observations that it is colder. They do not want to have "exceptions" (local coolness) direct public opinion rather than their "rule" - that the world is burning to a crisp.
I have read, that climate effects are based on "feedbacks" involving calculations that I am unable to understand. But the basic concept from the Realist side, I think from what I've read, is that increased CO2 leads to increased water vapour which results in cooler temperatures.
So, my question to experts, based upon my layman observation is this:
Might "the Weather" actually be more important to study than "the Climate"?
Is it possible that human caused CO2 has a greater effect on local areas (urban centres) where it is created and is most concentrated, than in areas where industrial activity and the release of CO2 emissions are nominal?
If my observations as a dummy are accurate (and I have no idea if they are valid), then the whole debate would change. CO2 would indeed become a pollution like NO2 that caused acid rain. And by putting the equivalent to catalytic converters in cars and scrubbers in chimneys this pollution can be eliminated in a few years.
What sayeth the Climate Experts out there.
Saturday, July 04, 2009
US courts found a way of throwing him in jail on criminal charges for what may still be determined by the US Supreme Court to be a mere tort, but he didn't get shut up.
Today in the National Post - which above all other national papers has taken on the challenge of rebutting the climate nonsense, Lord Black let everyone know that he may be jailed, but he has not been stifled:
It was at this point that I began to suffer glottal stops. Gaia is billed by its author as "a complex entity involving the Earth's biosphere, atmosphere, oceans and soil; the totality constituting a feedback or cybernetic system, which seeks an optimal physical and chemical environment for life on this planet." This isn't a scientific formulation at all; it's just a cargo cult-level platitude counseling against excessive spoliation of resources.http://www.nationalpost.com/story-printer.html?id=1758464
Monday, June 22, 2009
All day long Thursday and Friday on NBC's US Open coverage consultation with the weatherman laureate was held to predict the chances of the tournament being completed.
The forecast was ghastly, Roker predicted waterfalls of rain for the entire weekend with only momentary absenses. He sounded like Noah in his pre-ark period.
All the punters changed their odds calculations to favour those hoary souls who came from northern climes like Sweden, Norway, Northern Island and Canada.
But guess what...
After that wild and wet first day, and an afternoon on Friday that saw a fair amount of drizzle, the weather has been terrific. And the players are carving up what was promised to be a monster.
And who's leading?? Guys from San Diego and South Texas.
With all the complexities of weather forecasting distilled down to looking at the radar maps to identify what the weather patterns were down wind from Bethpage Black, they still got it absolutely 100% wrong.
How can anyone take with a straight face forecasts of the climate or weather a hundred years or even one year from now?
Don't say that it is easier to forecast long term than hourly.
That defies common sense.
Friday, June 19, 2009
"And regarding the accuracy of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's computer models, we were assured that better models were in the pipeline. So the minister's advisers apparently concede that the models that have guided preparation of the emissions trading scheme legislation are inadequate."What more needs to be said.
Okay - I'll say it. A single government, locked by policy into following a carbon tax policy has admitted that they are making their drastic policy on the basis of a half-baked model that has been proven inaccurate in the past 10 years. This, alone, ought to give every one the shakes.
Thursday, June 18, 2009
"Otherwise, I would have to conclude that you are insufficiently
educated to be able to know when you have been psychologically
manipulated. And that would make you an unreliable reporter.
I am about to send your comments to others for their contribution,
unless you request I do not. They are likely to want to post your
comments on forums/fora, so please indicate if you do not want this to
happen. You may appear in an unfavourable light because it could be
said that you have had your head turned by the sceptics."
Somehow neither town has burned to a crisp, sunk into the ocean, or had any species disappear.
Credit: The Migrant Mind